<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	xmlns:georss="http://www.georss.org/georss" xmlns:geo="http://www.w3.org/2003/01/geo/wgs84_pos#" xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>AdventuresInMissingThePoint.com &#187; maff</title>
	<atom:link href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/category/maff/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com</link>
	<description>I don&#039;t get it.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 02 Sep 2011 01:59:52 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.com/</generator>
<cloud domain='adventuresinmissingthepoint.com' port='80' path='/?rsscloud=notify' registerProcedure='' protocol='http-post' />
<image>
		<url>http://s2.wp.com/i/buttonw-com.png</url>
		<title>AdventuresInMissingThePoint.com &#187; maff</title>
		<link>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com</link>
	</image>
	<atom:link rel="search" type="application/opensearchdescription+xml" href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/osd.xml" title="AdventuresInMissingThePoint.com" />
	<atom:link rel='hub' href='http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/?pushpress=hub'/>
		<item>
		<title>Financial Independence Model</title>
		<link>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2010/06/14/financial-independence-model/</link>
		<comments>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2010/06/14/financial-independence-model/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jun 2010 05:09:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[finances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[maff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sustainability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[think about it]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/?p=1183</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m interested in financial independence, as I think it is very responsible thing to do, as well as the most sustainable way to live life.  I remember first learning this from Rich Dad, Poor Dad.  A lot of people do not like that book.  I think the major reason is that the thought of passively [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=1183&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m interested in financial independence, as I think it is very responsible thing to do, as well as the most sustainable way to live life.  I remember first learning this from <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Rich-Dad-Poor-Money-That-Middle/dp/044656740X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1276553711&amp;sr=1-1" target="_blank">Rich Dad, Poor Dad</a>.  A lot of people do not like that book.  I think the major reason is that the thought of passively making income is so overwhelming that one&#8217;s &#8220;fight&#8221; reaction takes over.  It&#8217;s just my guess, though.</p>
<p>Essentially, passive income is earnings where your efforts are not actively needed.  It is much easier to define active income: a job (where time and skill and traded for $bling).  In financial terms, passive income is generally investment capital traded for $bling.  Examples of passive income are dividends, apartment rent (if you own an apartment complex), and the part of the pyramid scheme where you profit from others&#8217; efforts.</p>
<p>Passive income can also be viewed as potential.  As <a href="http://earlyretirementextreme.com/2009/08/can-i-retire-on-x-dollars.html" target="_blank">ERE&#8217;s post</a> describes, the 25 and 33 scalars, applied to one&#8217;s annual budget, are commonly used for estimating this potential.</p>
<ul>
<blockquote>
<li>If you need your money to last 30 years and you invest it 100% in  index funds and you withdraw your annual expenses every year, you need  25 times as much money in index funds as your annual expenses (including  taxes).</li>
<li>If you need your money to last 60 years instead and follow the  same procedure, you need 33 times as much money.</li>
</blockquote>
</ul>
<p>(If I remember correctly) this concept of potential is defined in <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1413307051?tag=oildepletiove-20" target="_blank">Work Less, Live More</a>.  The book, as well as <a href="http://www.firecalc.com/" target="_blank">firecalc</a>,  describe how those numbers take into account risk, so that one will be  financially independent.</p>
<p>The time to generate these amounts are below,</p>
<p><img src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-1.gif?w=470" alt="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-1.gif?w=470" /></p>
<p>in general terms, and</p>
<p><img src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-2.gif?w=470" alt="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-2.gif?w=470" /></p>
<p>in a more applied form.</p>
<p>Applying the equation above in terms of the percentage of your pay that you save, you&#8217;ll come up with a pretty graph.  I have two versions, out of respect for the scale.  The first is in a scale for Joe American.  The second is for the whacky nut job ladies that plan to leave millions of dollars to their cats.</p>
<p><a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/american-sustainable-retirement1.png" target="_blank"><img src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/american-sustainable-retirement1.png?w=450&#038;h=320" alt="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/american-sustainable-retirement1.png?w=450&#038;h=320" width="450" height="320" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/ere-sustainable-retirement1.png" target="_blank"><img src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/ere-sustainable-retirement1.png?w=450&#038;h=320" alt="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/ere-sustainable-retirement1.png?w=450&#038;h=320" width="450" height="320" /></a></p>
<p>It&#8217;s interesting to see that saving extremely, in terms of one&#8217;s earnings, provides a nearly inversely proportional relationship in time for retirement.  These are not revolutionary ideas.  I just like visualizing numbers.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s interesting to note that spending less, as opposed to making more, has a greater impact to achieving financial independence, faster.  This is logical, if you look back to the equation.  The accumulation denominator is a function of earning and spending, yet the state of the system in the numerator is a function of spending scaled by a factor of 25.</p>
<div id="_mcePaste" style="position:absolute;left:-10000px;top:103px;width:1px;height:1px;overflow:hidden;">
<h1 class="parseasinTitle"><span id="btAsinTitle">Work Less,  Live More</span></h1>
</div>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/category/finances/'>finances</a>, <a href='http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/category/maff/'>maff</a>, <a href='http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/category/think-about-it/sustainability/'>sustainability</a>, <a href='http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/category/think-about-it/'>think about it</a>  <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1183/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=1183&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2010/06/14/financial-independence-model/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">aquadump</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-1.gif" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-1.gif</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-2.gif" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/sustainable-fi-equation-2.gif</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/american-sustainable-retirement1.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/american-sustainable-retirement1.png</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/ere-sustainable-retirement1.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/ere-sustainable-retirement1.png</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Quantitative Interest Returns</title>
		<link>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2010/03/18/quantitative-interest-returns/</link>
		<comments>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2010/03/18/quantitative-interest-returns/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 22:42:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[finances]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[maff]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/?p=1086</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today, I learned about Benford&#8217;s law from Jacob.  If you read either of those links, you can see that if you apply Benford&#8217;s law to an exponential function you can find the probability distribution of the exponential function.  As Jacob&#8217;s post mentions, compounding interest is an exponential function. After I compared time and interest rate [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=1086&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today, I learned about <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benford%27s_law">Benford&#8217;s law</a> from <a href="http://earlyretirementextreme.com/2010/03/benfords-law-and-why-the-first-million-is-the-hardest.html" target="_blank">Jacob</a>.  If you read either of those links, you can see that if you apply Benford&#8217;s law to an exponential function you can find the probability distribution of the exponential function.  As Jacob&#8217;s post mentions, compounding interest is an exponential function.</p>
<p>After I compared time and interest rate dependencies in the <a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2009/01/11/investment-fractals-and-breaking-even/" target="_blank">exponential function</a>, I started wondering more about relative interest return rates.  I believe applying Benford&#8217;s law now closes that loop.</p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/benfords-law.png" target="_blank"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/benfords-law.png?w=410&#038;h=182" alt="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/benfords-law.png?w=410&#038;h=182" width="410" height="182" /></a></p>
<p>The bar plot is the probability distribution of Benford&#8217;s law, and the line plot is the cumulative probability distribution of it.  Then, you can apply this to principal in a loan, fraction of a desired capital investment goal, and so forth.</p>
<p>Say you take out a loan, and pay 20% down.  The loan is free from 48% of the total interest compounding.  In other words, the loan is growing at 52% of the total loan potential, as a function of the lending interest rate.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s something to think about, and it&#8217;s also a tool to use if you apply time to calculations, like if you start to default on payments/investments.</p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/category/finances/'>finances</a>, <a href='http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/category/maff/'>maff</a>  <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/1086/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=1086&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2010/03/18/quantitative-interest-returns/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">aquadump</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/benfords-law.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2010/03/benfords-law.png</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Balanced Times . . for a Balanced Lifestyle</title>
		<link>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2009/01/30/balanced-times-for-a-balanced-lifestyle/</link>
		<comments>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2009/01/30/balanced-times-for-a-balanced-lifestyle/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2009 08:10:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[maff]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/?p=181</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[At some point, I decided I wanted a sweet analog watch.  Style, an anti-progressive statement, whatever it may be. Somehow I noticed that a lot of the watch advertisements showed watches at the time 10:10. This observation is still true; a Google Shopping search has a lot of watches at that time. My current favorite [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=181&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At some point, I decided I wanted a sweet analog watch.  Style, an anti-progressive statement, whatever it may be. Somehow I noticed that a lot of the watch advertisements showed watches at the time 10:10. This observation is still true; a <a href="http://www.google.com/products?q=analog%20watches" target="_blank">Google Shopping search</a> has a lot of watches at that time.</p>
<p>My current favorite online response is from <a href="http://www.blogcadre.com/blog/stella/10_08_why_analog_watches_are_set_to_this_time_in_advertisements_2006_12_12_12_04_34" target="_blank">blogcadre</a>:</p>
<blockquote>
<ul><span>. . .</p>
<li>The hands are nearly symmetrically balanced on [the] face of the dial at 10:08.  The minute hand is 48 degrees right of vertical, while the hour hand is 56 degrees left of vertical.  Exact symmetry would be achieved at 120/13 minutes past 10:00, approximately 10:08:13.8.  Other symmetrical times would not meet the needs above.</li>
<p>. . .</p>
<p></span></ul>
</blockquote>
<p>I cut out a lot of the real reasoning: marketing!</p>
<p>My thoughts centered around the symmetry, <a href="http://whats-your-goal.blogspot.com/2008/06/pun-intended.html" target="_blank">pun intended</a>.  Namely, 10:08:13.8 is NOT symmetrical!  Amateurs. The second hand is messing up everything that is good in the world.  It&#8217;s all or nothing, man.</p>
<p>I thought about this visually, for both the second hand being between the two hands, if you will, and for the second hand being outside the other two hands.</p>
<p><a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/clock.jpg" target="_blank"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/clock.jpg?w=183&#038;h=102" alt="Yes it is" width="183" height="102" /></a></p>
<p>Then, I came up with some killer balances.</p>
<p>Acute:    <a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/acute1.gif" target="_blank"><img src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/acute1.gif?w=470" alt="Acute Formula" /></a></p>
<p>Obtuse:  <a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/obtuse.gif" target="_blank"><img src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/obtuse.gif?w=470" alt="Obtuse Formula" /></a></p>
<p>For the joy of all, I solved those killer formulas. And, I provide you with a nice time table:</p>
<p><a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/analog-watch-hand-symmetry-advance.pdf" target="_blank"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/analogpreview.jpg?w=310&#038;h=198" alt="Almost Too Easy" width="310" height="198" /></a></p>
<p>Now, you understand what I think of if you hear me say, &#8220;Yes, I strive to<strong> recognize</strong> balance in my life.&#8221;</p>
<br />Posted in maff  <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/181/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=181&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2009/01/30/balanced-times-for-a-balanced-lifestyle/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">aquadump</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/clock.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Yes it is</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/acute1.gif" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Acute Formula</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/obtuse.gif" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Obtuse Formula</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/analogpreview.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Almost Too Easy</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>I Wish I Had More Friends</title>
		<link>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2009/01/25/i-wish-i-had-more-friends/</link>
		<comments>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2009/01/25/i-wish-i-had-more-friends/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 01:32:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[maff]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/?p=157</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A well known probability problem is the birthday paradox; if you get over 23 people in a room, the odds are favorable that two people will share the same birthday.  I believe this is when the sample distribution moves to a population distribution.  That&#8217;s not my point.  My point is that I wish I had [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=157&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A well known probability problem is the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_paradox">birthday paradox</a>; if you get over 23 people in a room, the odds are favorable that two people will share the same birthday.  I believe this is when the sample distribution moves to a population distribution.  That&#8217;s not my point.  My point is that I wish I had more friends.</p>
<p>Exploding with social popularity, <a href="http://www.facebook.com/" target="_blank">Facebook</a> always lets me know when my friends&#8217; birthdays are.  Every few days I have a friend with a birthday, and that person&#8217;s received comments <a href="http://graphjam.com/2008/10/01/song-chart-memes-facebook-wall-activity/" target="_blank">greatly increase</a> that day.</p>
<p>Then my curiosity wandered: how many friends do I need to have in order to add a daily task of wishing someone a happy birthday? I used the lazy man&#8217;s approach: I avoided theory and just simulated. I used a uniform distribution for birthday odds. I continued the simulation until all of the 365 days were full, which I repeated a thousand times.</p>
<p><a href="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/birthday.jpg" target="_blank"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/birthday.jpg?w=273&#038;h=234" alt="True story" width="273" height="234" /></a></p>
<p>The upshot of this: you need 1900 to 2800 friends before you can feel any confidence that you can <a href="http://www.wired.com/techbiz/people/magazine/17-02/st_levy" target="_blank">add the daily task</a> of &#8220;wishing happy birthdays&#8221; in your virtual community.</p>
<p>Maybe by the time I have that many friends I&#8217;ll know a more elegant theoretical solution.</p>
<br />Posted in maff  <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/adventuresinmissingthepoint.wordpress.com/157/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=adventuresinmissingthepoint.com&amp;blog=4102301&amp;post=157&amp;subd=adventuresinmissingthepoint&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.com/2009/01/25/i-wish-i-had-more-friends/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
		<media:content url="" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">aquadump</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://adventuresinmissingthepoint.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/birthday.jpg" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">True story</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
